Wednesday, April 22, 2009
UPDATE 1-Three Japan insurers in merger talks - TV
UPDATE 1-Three Japan insurers in merger talks - TV
Pakistani forex reserves ease to $10.16 bln
What is the Difference Between Forex and Stock?
Forex explain
Say you suspect that the Japanese Yen might appreciate in value against US dollar in the near future. The current exchange rate is 120 yen to a US dollar. You go to the bank and exchange US $10,000 for 1,200,000 yen.
US$ 1.00
=
¥ 120.00
US$ 10,000.00
=
(120*10,000)
You will get:
¥ 1,200,000.00
Profit:
Later on, as expected, the Yen appreciates by five yen to 115 yen to a US dollar. You then take your yen back to the bank and exchange them into US dollars. You will get US $10,434.78. This extra US $434.78 is your profit on top of
¥ 115.00
=
US$ 1.00
¥ 1,200,000.00
=
(1/115)*1,200,000
=
US$ 10,434.78
Initial Investment was:
=
US$ 10,000.00
Your PROFIT:
=
US$ 434.78
Loss:
On the other hand, instead of appreciating, the yen further weakens. After all, it was only an expectation that the Yen will appreciate, not a guarantee. Let's say the Yen weakens by five yen to 125 yen to a US dollar. Of course, you now have a choice to either hold onto your yen until it appreciates or exchange them back into US dollars. Suppose, you want to exchange them back into dollars for fears of further yen weakness. You then take your yen back to the bank and exchange them into US dollars. You will get US $9,600.00. Your loss is US $400.00 . Now your initial investment of US $10,000 is reduced to US$ 9,600.
¥ 125.00
=
US$ 1.00
¥ 1,200,000.00
=
(1/125)*1,200,000
=
US$ 9,600.00
Initial Investment was:
=
US$ 10,000.00
Your LOSS:
=
(-US$ 400.00)
FOREX trading is neither gambling nor should it be perceived as such. In gambling, once you place a bet you cannot withdraw from a losing situation. You either win or lose. On the other hand, in FOREX, you decide how much you are prepared to lose or wait until you are in a profit situation. FOREX trading provides several means to accomplish just that.
Hence, one can trade FOREX euphorically or in an organized manner. The tools and techniques are there; it's up to you to use them for your best interest.
forex history
Forex Recommendation
Volume- High
Take Profit- 112.18
Stop Loss- 111.05
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Good Forex Signals Performance Using Proper Money Management

He browsed and read each forex signals article from June 2007. He then made the summary and interestingly he also wrote a money management model for it. He sent me the file and allow me to share with you.
The file shows interesting result of trading GBP/USD using Pipholic free forex signals and Silvio’s money management model. The US$ 5,000 initial deposits grows into about US$ 9,000 within the period from June 2007 to April 2008.
I took the above graph from Silvio’s file. It shows the equity grow without any large drawdown. You can download the file (.zip) from the download link at the end of this article. I have asked Silvio to answer any question about it here.
Silvio is one of Pipholic readers, he lives in Germany and currently provide free forex signals for his forex blog readers
Foreign exchange market
Market size and liquidity
The foreign exchange market is unique because of
its trading volumes,
the extreme liquidity of the market,
the large number of, and variety of, traders in the market,
its geographical dispersion,
its long trading hours: 24 hours a day (except on weekends),
the variety of factors that affect exchange rates.
the low margins of profit compared with other markets of fixed income (but profits can be high due to very large trading volumes)
As such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal perfect competition. According to the BIS,[1] average daily turnover in traditional foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.21 trillion. Daily averages in April for different years, in billions of US dollars, are presented on the chart below:
This $3.21 trillion in global foreign exchange market "traditional" turnover was broken down as follows:
$1,005 billion in spot transactions
$362 billion in outright forwards
$1,714 billion in forex swaps
$129 billion estimated gaps in reporting
In addition to "traditional" turnover, $2.1 trillion was traded in derivatives.
Exchange-traded forex futures contracts were introduced in 1972 at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and are actively traded relative to most other futures contracts. Forex futures volume has grown rapidly in recent years, and accounts for about 7% of the total foreign exchange market volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe (5/5/06, p. 20).
Average daily global turnover in traditional foreign exchange market transactions totaled $2.7 trillion in April 2006 according to IFSL estimates based on semi-annual London, New York, Tokyo and Singapore Foreign Exchange Committee data. Overall turnover, including non-traditional foreign exchange derivatives and products traded on exchanges, averaged around $2.9 trillion a day. This was more than ten times the size of the combined daily turnover on all the world’s equity markets. Foreign exchange trading increased by 38% between April 2005 and April 2006 and has more than doubled since 2001. This is largely due to the growing importance of foreign exchange as an asset class and an increase in fund management assets, particularly of hedge funds and pension funds. The diverse selection of execution venues such as internet trading platforms has also made it easier for retail traders to trade in the foreign exchange market. [4]
Because foreign exchange is an OTC market where brokers/dealers negotiate directly with one another, there is no central exchange or clearing house. The biggest geographic trading centre is the UK, primarily London, which according to IFSL estimates has increased its share of global turnover in traditional transactions from 31.3% in April 2004 to 32.4% in April 2006. RPP
The ten most active traders account for almost 73% of trading volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe, (2/9/06 p. 20). These large international banks continually provide the market with both bid (buy) and ask (sell) prices. The bid/ask spread is the difference between the price at which a bank or market maker will sell ("ask", or "offer") and the price at which a market-maker will buy ("bid") from a wholesale customer. This spread is minimal for actively traded pairs of currencies, usually 0–3 pips. For example, the bid/ask quote of EUR/USD might be 1.2200/1.2203 on a retail broker. Minimum trading size for most deals is usually 100,000 units of currency, which is a standard "lot".
These spreads might not apply to retail customers at banks, which will routinely mark up the difference to say 1.2100 / 1.2300 for transfers, or say 1.2000 / 1.2400 for banknotes or travelers' checks. Spot prices at market makers vary, but on EUR/USD are usually no more than 3 pips wide (i.e. 0.0003). Competition is greatly increased with larger transactions, and pip spreads shrink on the major pairs to as little as 1 to 2 pips.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Whole Sale Goods Platform
collection of specific design guidelines
are summarized. Each design guideline
addresses a particular issue that is a)
caused by, or b) effects the characteristics
of a product. The design guidelines itself
propose usually an approach and corresponding
methods that may help to generate and apply
technical knowledge in order to control,
improve, or even to invent particular
characteristics of a product. From
knowledge-based view, the design guidelines
represents an explicit form of knowledge,
that contains information about "knowing-how-to"
(see Procedural knowledge). However, two problems
are prevailent. First, this explicit knowledge
(i.e. the design guidelines)
Forex swap
short terminterest rate derivative instrument.In emerging money
markets, forex swapsare usually the first derivativeinstrument
to be traded, ahead offorward rate agreements.
Rate of Change (ROC) and Momentum
Introduction and Calculation
The Rate of Change (ROC) indicator is a very simple yet effective momentum oscillator that measures the percent change in price from one period to the next. The ROC calculation compares the current price with the price n periods ago.
ROC = ((Today's close - Close n periods ago) / (Close n periods ago)) * 100 The plot forms an oscillator that fluctuates above and below the zero line as the Rate of Change moves from positive to negative. The oscillator can be used as any other momentum oscillator by looking for higher lows, lower highs, positive and negative divergences, and crosses above and below zero for signals.
Example
The chart of Lucent shows that a large negative divergence formed in Dec-99 and the ROC moved into negative territory just before the large decline. While this was a superb sell signal, the ROC can produce whipsaws as it moves above and below zero. As with most technical indicators, ROC should be used in conjunction with other aspects or technical analysis as well as other non-momentum based indicators.
There is another popular indicator called "Momentum" that is almost identical to the Rate of Change indicator. The only difference is that the Rate of Change indicator adds 100 to the ROC's value. Momentum also uses 100 as its center line instead of zero like the ROC. Because both indicators give identical signals, StockCharts.com has choosen to only implement the Rate of Change version. People that are used to using the Momentum indicator can simply replace that with the ROC indicator on their charts.
Pivot point
Introduction to Forex Trading
The 1971 abandonment of the Bretton Woods Accord and the subsequent unwinding of the regime of universal fixed exchange rates gave rise to the foreign exchange market as we know it today.
Forex refers to the foreign exchange market, where brokerage firms and banks are connected over an electronic network that allows them to convert the currencies of countries around the globe. The forex market is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world. The daily dollar volume of currencies traded in the currency market exceeds $1.4 trillion, many times larger than the combined volume of all U.S. equity markets.
While the foreign exchange market is often seen to be dominated by government central banks and commercial and investment banks, trading on the currency exchanges has become increasingly accessible to private investors through technological innovations such as the internet. The most commonly traded currencies are the US Dollar, Japanese Yen, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and Australian Dollar. The FX market runs 24-hour hours a day, 5 days a week with continuous access to global dealers. Trading is not centralized on an exchange, as with the stock and futures markets. Transactions are conducted between two counterparts over the telephone or via an electronic network.
Foreign Exchange is the simultaneous buying of one currency and selling of another. Currencies are traded in pairs, for example Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) or US Dollar/Japanese Yen (USD/JPY). For example, you would execute a trade when you expect the currency you are buying to increase relative to the one you are selling. If the currency you are buying increases in value, you must sell the other currency to close the position and take a profit. The first currency in the pair is called the base currency and the second is called the counter or quote currency. Usually the US currency is the base currency and quotes are given in $1 USD per counter currency, e.g. USD/JPY. The exceptions are the British Pound, the Euro and the Australian Dollar.
Five Fibonacci Tricks
Fibonacci jumped into the technical mainstream late in the bull market. Futures traders had it all to themselves until real-time software ported it over to the equity markets. Its popularity exploded as retail traders experimented with its arcane math and discovered its many virtues.
Fibonacci ratios describe the interaction between trend and countertrend markets -- 38%, 50% and 62% retracements form the primary pullback levels. Apply these percentages after a trend in either direction to predict the extent of the countertrend swing. Stretch a grid over the most obvious up or down wave, and see how percentages cross key price levels.
Convergence between pattern and retracement can point to excellent trading opportunities. Keep in mind that retracements work poorly in a vacuum. Always examine highs, lows and moving averages to confirm the importance of a specific level.
Discord between retracement and the underlying pattern generates noise instead of profit. Move on to a new chart when nothing lines up correctly. This divergence generates most of the whipsaw in a price chart. Alternatively, strong phasing between Fibonacci and pattern exposes highly predictive reversals at narrow price levels.
Let's look at five tricks to improve your Fibonacci skills. Add these twists and turns to your toolbox and apply them to your next trade. I promise they'll serve you very well in the years ahead.
First Rise/First Failure
First Rise/First Failure marks the first 100% retracement of a trend within your time frame of interest. It provides an early reversal warning after a new high or low. The 100% retracement violates the major price direction and terminates the trend it corrects. From this level, the old trend can reestablish itself if it breaks through the old 38% level. More often, traders will use that level to enter low-risk positions against the old trend.
Parabola Hunt
Parabolic movement tends to occur between the 0%-to-38% and 62%-to-100% Fibonacci levels in all trends. This tendency offers a great tool for finding the big moves when looking for trades. Watch for congestion to form at the 38% or 62% level. Then use a simple breakout or breakdown strategy when price moves past it. The next thrust can be dramatic, with price moving like a magnet back to an old high or low. Of course, the strategy only works when you can find these levels in advance.
Continuation Gap Extensions
You can often target the exact price a rally or selloff will end at by using the continuation gap as a Fibonacci extension tool. Identify the gap by its location at the dead center of a vertical price wave. Then start a Fib grid at the beginning of the trend and extend it so the gap sits under the 50% retracement level. The grid extension points to the terminating price for the rally or selloff.
Overnight Grids
Find an active stock and start a grid from the high (or low) of a session's last hour. Stretch the grid to the opposite end of the next morning's first hour low (or high). This defines a specific price wave traders can use to uncover intraday reversals, breakouts and breakdowns. The overnight grid also offers a way to trade morning gaps. The gap will often stretch across a key retracement level and target low-risk entry on a pullback.
Second High/Low
Fibonacci Trading
Leonardo Pisano, better known by his nickname, Fibonacci, was an Italian mathematician born in Pisa in the 12th century. He is known to have discovered the Fibonacci numbers, said to be based upon observations of the Great Pyramid of Gizeh in Egypt. Fibonacci Numbers are a sequence of numbers where each successive number is the sum of the two previous numbers.
e.g. 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc.
It is the ratio of the Fibonacci sequence that is significant, rather than the actual numbers in the sequence. The quotient of the adjacent terms in the series possesses an amazing proportion, roughly 1.618, or its inverse 0.618. This proportion is known by many names: the golden ratio, the golden mean, PHI, and the divine proportion. The dimensional properties that adhere to the ratio of 1.618 occur repeatedly in nature. Examples are as various as mollusk shells and the shapes of gallaxies containing billions of stars.
When used in technical analysis, the golden ratio is most often translated into three percentages: – 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. However, other multiples can be used, such as 23.6%, 161.8%, 423%, and so on. The Fibonacci sequence is applied to finance in several ways: retracements, arcs, fans, and time zones.
How does Forex work?
What is Forex II?
There are many currencies in the world and their prices
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Aussie Rises to New Monthly Maximums
The currency experienced a minor decline during the day as the markets reacted on the RBA minutes stating the necessity of the further interest rate cuts. But then the growth followed. The Aussie also fell against the New Zealand dollar as the gain in commodities market made the NZD look more promising than than its Australian counterpart.
The analysts talk mainly about the good news from the U.S. banking sector as the primary reason for the global stock and high-yielding optimism. Some are afraid of the further rate cuts and say that the current optimism can’t last for too long and the Australian dollar has now some considerable space to fall. When the optimism is over, the crude oil will start to pare its gains and the Aussie will have to step back against other currencies.
AUD/USD is currently trading near its open level at 0.6583 as of 13:52 GMT after almost reaching new monthly high at 0.6615. AUD/JPY rose from 64.74 to 65.03 after peaking at 65.39 — the highest level since January 8. AUD/NZD fell for sixth day in a row — from 1.2442 to .12424. NZD/USD rose from 0.5288 to 0.5300, while NZD/JPY went up from 51.96 to 52.59 today.
Forex(FX) Trading Strategy
A common forex trading strategy could involve US dollars and the Euro, the official currency of most European countries. To use a simple example of a forex trading strategy, a speculator would buy Euros when they were undervalued; let’s say two Euros equaled one US dollar. This would be unusual because normally the two currencies are almost equal.
By spending one hundred US dollars to buy two hundred Euros a speculator would be able to buy more goods in Germany, France or other European countries. When the market changed and became more even, the speculator would have twice as many goods as he normally would have, and would be able to exchange those goods for US dollars once again.
The difference would be profit. This is a very simple explanation of a forex trading strategy, but gives the basics to the new speculator.Of course, when coming up with a forex trading strategy the trader should only use money that he or she can afford to loose. This is speculation, as opposed to investment. The chances for profit are real, and could come quick but if the market turns the opposite way than expected the trader could actually loose money.
A forex trading strategy can reap large profits, but if anyone tells you that all trades will result in profit, they haven’t studied the market as well as they should have and they are not correct. Still having a sound forex trading strategy for a competent businessman can be a profitable venture. It requires study of the markets, which takes time and is usually best accomplished by reading financial newsletters and using tools available on the Internet.
Getting the advice of a professional forex trading strategy specialist can also be a sound choice. Professionals have the time, education and skills and can generally help a trader come up with a forex trading strategy that will result in profit more often than one could do without their help.The most sound forex trading strategy options are generally used by large multinational corporations who are often able to make steady profits.
Watching what large corporations do who are involved in forex trading, looking for patterns they may have set, can help a trader to get the benefit of the very expensive expertise used by these large companies. Making watching of the large traders a part of a person’s education is definitely a good place to start a forex trading education. Identifying the state of the market, determining the time frame you are working in, and the currencies that have fluctuation and getting the advice of professionals through self study can be the wisest forex trading strategy option available.
Rupee to Post Worst Weekly Drop This Year
The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark index (SENSEX) is currently falling by more than 2.5 percent. Such a strong decline in the stocks prompt foreign investment funds to sell their Indian equities and to convert from the rupee the Indian dollar. The rupee is currently approaching its 11-week lowest level against the dollar.
The analysts see a little chance that the rupee will be growing again soon — even the country’s officials are saying that the recession will have a deeper influence on the Indian economy than it was expected earlier. The capital outflows are likely to continue to be the major disadvantage of the INR, which is likely to get many speculative positions traded against it.
USD/INR from 49.73 to 49.87 as of 9:13 GMT today — its highest level since early December. The weekly gain of this currency pair is 1.9 percent.
Why should I learn Forex currency trading?
But what you wouldn't know is that 7 out of 10 traders keep losing money in Forex market! That's right, 70% of individual FX traders keep losing their hard-earned money in the market; while the rest of the 30% work freely at home and earn millions annually)
Wonder what differs between the losing 70% and the winning 30%?
Forex trading skills and the trading system! If you want to work less than 20 hours a day at home, if you want to make millions by trading freely at home, if you want to have financial freedom by trading Forex; you better LEARN Forex trading before you start trading Forex. Forex market is definitely not a game for newbie and you need to brush up your skills before getting your hands wet.